Nadal -12 or13.
Not only has Nadal not won a slam outside the french for 18 months, but as far as i know he hasn’t won a tournament outside of clay for about 18 months.
I think his meeting Djoko on hard court in slams would favour Djoko. So while Nadal can win more French (and i’m assuming injury may be an ensuing factor in this) Djoko has the advantage in two of the four slams, allowing his slam tally to rise at a ratio of 2 to 1 over the next few years-and Djoko in scintllating form would even threaten Nadal at
How a much a factor a resurgent Federer is going to be it’s hard to know, but I don’t think he’ll be a dominant figure, let alone the primary slam winner in the next year or so-i predicted he’d win Wimbledon and I predict Djoko
will win the US Open.
Interestingly Nadal could get close to, equal or surpass Sampras’ slam tally, leaving Sampras 3rd in the all time list, who’d have even imagined that when Sampras won his last slam.
Hi Jesse, long time no see.
Anyway, re: the bolded part - well, that's mostly because from 2003 to 2010, the era saw only two top players going for everything and pretty much grabbing everything in sight, so it's no surprise there. That's along with surface homogenization, new racquet technology and a lack of competition in general since 2003.
Federer was clearly the best player in his time (2003-2007) but the players he was faced with in that time period were simply not good enough with the exception of Safin and Nalbandian, but specifically Safin. He came at a time when all the great players were either in decline (Hewitt due to injuries, Agassi due to old age,) or into self-indulgence (Safin, Nalbandian etc.) or too young (Nadal, Nole and Andy), so Federer was basically left with a bunch of mediocre players.
The 2nd phase (2008-2010) saw the rise of Nadal who pretty much dominated the tour including Federer. It was no surprise there either when Federer took two more titles home in absence of Nadal (ousted by Soderling at 2009 RG followed by withdrawal from Wimbledon). Things only got tougher for the top two players in 2011 when Djokovic took himself to another level and grabbed 3 of the 4 majors in 2011 along and another one in 2012. Now both Federer and Nadal know that nothing is guaranteed with the rise of Nole.
Sampras in his time didn’t have things this easy. The first half of the 90 was one of the toughest eras of all time and the 2nd half also saw a lot more competition in each field be it clay or hard or grass. Even in early 00s, Sampras had to fight against young guns like Hewitt, Safin, Roddick and Federer.
Here's a list of the top seeds at Wimbledon in 2003 – Federer first Wimbledon title and first Slam. You can see Mark Phillippousis, the finalist, wasn't even seeded there. And you'll also notice a lot of the leftovers from the 90s.
1. Australia Lleyton Hewitt (First Round)
2. United States Andre Agassi (Fourth Round)
3. Spain Juan Carlos Ferrero (Fourth Round)
4. Switzerland Roger Federer (Champion)
5. United States Andy Roddick (Semifinals)
6. Argentina David Nalbandian (Fourth Round)
7. Argentina Guillermo Coria (First Round)
8. Netherlands Sjeng Schalken (Quarterfinals)
9. Germany Rainer Schüttler (Fourth Round)
10. United Kingdom Tim Henman (Quarterfinals)
11. Czech Republic Jiří Novák (Third Round)
12. Thailand Paradorn Srichaphan (Fourth Round)
13. France Sébastien Grosjean (Semifinals)
14. Belgium Xavier Malisse (First Round)
15. France Arnaud Clément (Second Round)
16. Russia Mikhail Youzhny (Second Round)
17. Brazil Gustavo Kuerten (Second Round)
19. Chile Fernando González (First Round)
20. Russia Yevgeny Kafelnikov (First Round)
21. Netherlands Martin Verkerk (First Round)
22. Spain Félix Mantilla (First Round)
23. Argentina Agustín Calleri (Second Round)
25. Spain Tommy Robredo (Third Round)
26. United States James Blake (Second Round)
27. Morocco Younes El Aynaoui (Third Round)
28. South Africa Wayne Ferreira (First Round)
29. Argentina Gastón Gaudio (First Round)
30. Finland Jarkko Nieminen (Third Round)
31. United States Vincent Spadea (First Round)
32. Argentina Juan Ignacio Chela (Second Round)
33. Russia Nikolay Davydenko (First Round)
34. Czech Republic Radek Štěpánek (Third Round)
So Federer had to beat M. Phillippousis, A. Roddick, S. Schalken, F. Lopez, M. Fish, S. Koubek and H T Lee to win his first Grand Slam and his first Wimbledon. And he was 22 at that time.
On the other hand, in 1990, Sampras had to beat A. Agassi, J. McEnroe, E. Lendl, T. Muster, J. Hlasek, P. Lundgren, D. Goldie to win his first Grand Slam. And he was 19 at that time.
And here's the top 16 seeds of 1990 USO:
1. Sweden Stefan Edberg (First round)
2. West Germany Boris Becker (Semifinalist)
3. Czechoslovakia Ivan Lendl (Quarterfinalist)
4. United States Andre Agassi (Finalist)
5. Ecuador Andrés Gómez (First round)
6. Austria Thomas Muster (Fourth round)
7. Spain Emilio Sánchez (Fourth round)
8. United States Brad Gilbert (Third round)
9. United States Aaron Krickstein (Quarterfinalist)
10. Soviet Union Andrei Chesnokov (Third round)
11. United States Michael Chang (Third round)
12. United States Pete Sampras (Champion)
13. United States Jay Berger (Fourth round)
14. United States Jim Courier (Second round)
15. Socialist Federal Republic of Yugoslavia Goran Ivanišević (Third round)
16. Argentina Martín Jaite (Second round)