Be it as it may... Sid just wrote an amazing post on how he thinks Djokovic and murray are moving away from the pack... and he does say how these two guys are playing similar style of play, being counter-punchers, covering the court and whatnot.. and I do agree with him on that, but the only difference is that Djokovic has mastered that type of play and is above Murray, SPECIALLY in slower courts. i.e. AO Final. So, if Murray was to win RG he has to get past Djokovic and I just don't see that hapenning for two reasons.
1. Djokovic is also aiming RG, specially since he know Nadal is not going to be in top form, so he know this year is his chance.. And he is going to be hungry for the title.
2. Djokovic is better at their style of play and coming clay season, Djokovic will only get better, so if they were to meet, I see Djokovic giving Murray a lesson on counter-punching on clay.
So, Murray does have a shot but not a very good one specially if Djokovic is at the other side of the net.
If he would have said Wimbledon, then that's a different story, he definitely has a shot at Wimbledon, and I expect Murray to do good at Wimbledon and quite possibly get the title, but RG, a whole different story.