Author Topic: AO 2005 - Men's Draw  (Read 28061 times)

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Offline timd818

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AO 2005 - Men's Draw
« Reply #160 on: January 24, 2005, 04:38:53 PM »
Who cares about the bottom half  :))
Top half is where all the action is. I don't see Federer, Agassi or Safin losing to the likes of Roddick or Hewitt. Anyway, Fed will have to bring out his A game for Agassi. He'll have to work for his next victory, unlike his 3 earlier matches, this one will have drama.
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Offline BitterBlueBong

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« Reply #161 on: January 24, 2005, 04:45:59 PM »
Quote from: "timd818"
I don't see Federer, Agassi or Safin losing to the likes of Roddick or Hewitt.


I have to agree here.

Offline Jamesdster

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« Reply #162 on: January 24, 2005, 10:12:47 PM »
Discounting Hewitt and Roddick?  Wow!  Very bold statement.  Also, don't overlook Nalbandian (imo).
I was at this casino minding my own business, and this guy came up to me and said, "You're gonna have to move, you're blocking a fire exit." As though if there was a fire, I wasn't gonna run. If you're flammible and have legs, you are never blocking a fire exit.  - Mitch Hedberg

Offline Tennis4you

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« Reply #163 on: January 24, 2005, 10:15:01 PM »
Yeah, I think all 3 of them have the potential of beating each other.  I give Safin the edge over Roddick though.  But you neverk know.  Hewitt loves playing Roddick obviously...

I would love to see a Safin / Hewitt match up.  I do not discount any of them!
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Offline BitterBlueBong

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« Reply #164 on: January 24, 2005, 10:35:46 PM »
Quote from: "Jamesdster"
Discounting Hewitt and Roddick?  Wow!  Very bold statement.


Not that bold, IMO. Federer, Agassi, and Safin have each done significantly better than Hewitt or Roddick at this tournament.

Offline Tennis4you

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« Reply #165 on: January 24, 2005, 10:36:19 PM »
This is true!
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Offline Tennis4you

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« Reply #166 on: January 24, 2005, 10:40:07 PM »
I want to breakdown this Hewitt Nalbandian match...  This has got to be one hell of a match if you ask me.  Nalbandian seems like he is playing pretty well, Hewitt obviously playing very well.  Nalbandian seems like a Robot out there to me, he is weird to watch.  But he is always there and seems to do damage.

I forget the Big W final they played where Hewitt won, what happened?  

Any thoughts on this one?
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Offline BitterBlueBong

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« Reply #167 on: January 24, 2005, 10:42:32 PM »
I think this time Nalbandian can give Hewitt a run, but I still expect Hewitt to win. It's great that he's somewhat living up to the pressure (though I'd be shocked as hell to see him win). I'd like to see Nalbandian win, but I'm gonna say Hewitt in 4.

Offline Tennis4you

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« Reply #168 on: January 24, 2005, 10:43:37 PM »
I think Hewitt in 4 is a good bet.  I am anxious to see that match!  I need some sort of TIVO that sees into the future, then I could rig the AO game and win all 16 points for each player.  :)
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Offline Tennis4you

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« Reply #169 on: January 25, 2005, 04:25:13 AM »
Federer just won in STRAIGHT sets.  DAAAAAAAANG he is the man.  Anyone see this match?

He is one of the last 4, that has to be scarey for the rest of them.

Nice job Fed!
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Offline ImaMadGoat

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« Reply #170 on: January 25, 2005, 04:37:52 AM »
Yeah, that was just heartbreaking for Andre....and for me. Federer was just relentless. He played a great match and yeah I wouldn't wanna be the other guys in this tourny!
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Offline gm3106

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« Reply #171 on: January 25, 2005, 06:22:54 AM »
Federer may have won in straight sets, but in some ways it seemed closer as there was only one break in each set. Agassi decided to adpot the same strategy as Roddick in the Wimbledon final, which was to try and unsettle Federer with sheer brute force in his groundstrokes. Agassi doesn't usually hit the ball so hard at the Australian Open, instead utilising the high bounce and medium pace of the court to precisely time his groundstrokes with the aim of wearing his opponent down, sending them running from corner to corner. Agassi obviously decided that there was no chance of this strategy working against Federer and that the free hitting approach would most likely give him the best chance to win, risky though it may have been.

And to be fair to Agassi, this was probably the only was he could win and, until 4-3 in the first set, it seemed to be working, with Agassi troubling Federer off the ground more than either Roddick did at the Wimbledon final or Hewitt at the US Open final. As expected, Agassi used his accomplished crosscourt backhand to give Federer's backhand a thorough examination, and this yielded some unforced errors on that side from Roger. This tactic also allowed the American to avoid the dreaded Federer forehand more than the Swiss would have liked.

If there was no such thing as a serve and each rally started with the ball being rolled into play, then who knows, maybe Andre would have won, because the main difference between the two men today was the Swiss man's serve.

Federer was holding serve so easy that it enabled him to spend plenty of time thinking of how to break Agassi's serve, which he eventually did at 4-3. Agassi then had three chances to break back, but Federer then decided to imitate Pete Sampras and wipe out two of those chances with aces, including one on a second serve (!!!!). After holding to take the first set, it did not look good for Andre, who had put so much intensity into the first nine games that you felt he really needed the opener to stand any chance of winning.

In the second and third sets it felt like a re-run of the Masters Cup Houston final in 2003, where there appeared to be no way in which Agassi could hurt Federer, and the fierceness of Agassi's grounstrokes, so apparent in the first set, had diminished.

But the main difference today really was Federer's serve. He fired 22 aces  ,although I doubt he hit even half that amount in his matches against Suzuki and Baghdatis, and posted a Sampras-like first serve percentage of 66%. I really don't think Andre expected him to serve so well, but Federer's returning was excellent too- Agassi managed just a single ace compared to 16 in his previous match against Johansson.  

The quality of Federer's movement is illustrated by the fact that, despite hitting the ball as hard as he could, Agassi managed only 13 winners in the entire match, and that stat includes service winners. I feel sorry for Agassi because it really was Sampras all over again although, unlike Hewitt, he managed to avoid the 6-0 set.

Federer will now surely go on to win the tournament, although Safin may be able to trouble him if he can take him to some tiebreaks and make things tight, but I really can't see it to be honest. The guys on the other side of the draw: Hewitt, Roddick and Nalbandian migh as well give up now.

As for Agassi, he'll keep maximizing his chances to win a 9th Grand Slam, a quest which is now taking on holy grail proportions, but it's a long time to the US Open (his chances at the other two are a long shot to say the least), and his chances diminish with each time he loses in a slam. But to be fair, its difficult to see anyone other than Federer winning a slam at the moment.

Offline Tennis4you

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« Reply #172 on: January 25, 2005, 08:10:19 AM »
Nice post Gm, I didn;t see the match but I feel like I did now.  :)

Only 13 winners for Agassi, wowsers, and he was going big off the baseline.  Federer is just too good.
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Offline MC ill Logic

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« Reply #173 on: January 25, 2005, 08:34:41 AM »
Awesome post, GM!  Thanks for that.   :H  I didn't get to see the match.  I hope they play it on ESPN tomorrow at 11pm pacific time.

Offline thejackal

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« Reply #174 on: January 25, 2005, 02:44:38 PM »
Fed is da man...nuff said.
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Offline timd818

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« Reply #175 on: January 25, 2005, 06:18:40 PM »
Well...A-Train got ran over by the Federer Express!!!
I've never seen Agassi gotten such a beating, not even from Sampras.
I wonder what's going thru Safin's mind right now  :whistle:
It's enough to scare his next victim witless.

GO FED!!!  :H   :H
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Offline Tennis4you

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« Reply #176 on: January 25, 2005, 06:23:44 PM »
I would love ot see a match where they both play out of their mind.  Of coarse if Fed plays out of his mind I doubt Safin's best will stand the test...  But like I said with Agassi, if Federer is off, Safin will surely take full advantage and could pull an upset.  But After what Fed did to Agassi, it is obvious he knows when to bring his game.
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Offline Arcforce

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« Reply #177 on: January 25, 2005, 07:49:20 PM »
;;)  4 & 3 & 3...I couldn't believe it.

What a shocker and depressing match for Agassi & for me!! Now Andre & Venus, my two favorites, are gone from the tournament!!

 :crying:  ITS NOT FAIR!!

Offline Jamesdster

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« Reply #178 on: January 25, 2005, 09:49:42 PM »
Agassi's last 2 losses in the majors were both to Federer.  It would be nice to see him finally land on the other side of the draw for once.  Agassi vs Hewitt or Nalbandian or Safin or Roddick etc would be interesting to see who gets the right to lose to Roger.
I was at this casino minding my own business, and this guy came up to me and said, "You're gonna have to move, you're blocking a fire exit." As though if there was a fire, I wasn't gonna run. If you're flammible and have legs, you are never blocking a fire exit.  - Mitch Hedberg

Offline Tennis4you

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« Reply #179 on: January 25, 2005, 09:53:15 PM »
Well, last year Safin knocked out Agassi is a great match.  Then Safin lost to Fed in the finals, he was exhausted, but Fed is Fed, what do you do.  :)
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