I'm so confused....
Nadal could win because he's the monster, but he could lose because he's injured.
Djokovic will win because he will be fitter because his road is easier, but he will lose because he has petered out in 2 grand slam quarters (not 1).
Moya is fit because he's got a fitness center in Mallorca, but he can't beat his buddy Nadal.
and, oh yeah, there's that other guy...... Federing, Federous, FEDERER, that's him Federer! Is he any good?
ok suppose you tell me what it is that i have said that is so confusing. take a look at the original post. i simply lay out some assumptions under which we could see nadal in the finals. we are still all the same people who though he had no chance to be in the finals at wimby again. and then he pushes federer on his very best surface to 5 sets and very nearly won.
once again the assumption: he has a 4-1 record against ferru. ferru has no weapons but can run all day but he has just spent over 4 hours in beating nalby. also nadal well experienced on a big stage and is very mentally tough. if the knees hold up, he will win. it is that simple. you probably feel exactly the same way.
secondly, i have to like his chances against chela or wawrinka. both, once again, just spent playing 5 setters and should they engage in another long match, nadal will be able to pick either one off with ease. especially chela who cant hurt him at all on any surface, nadal destroyed him in indian wells and at monte carlo and i mean destroyed.
the other side of the edger: i know djoker is playing well right now but he did spen5 nearly 5 hours in against stepanek. one more long match and he will be start feeling a little stale or tired. it happened in paris and it happened at wimby. he is getting fitter but still has some fitness issues. monaco has 3 clay titles this year and is quite consistent. a lot more consistent than del potro. it wont quite be a cake walk. and nw if he does have to play moya and moya keeps him out there a while, nadal will pick him off.
i didnt say he will win the tournament. i am saying with each additional match under his belt, the chances of his making a semifinal appearance improve.
all bets are off obviously if his knees get worse. what was so confusing?