The match will IMO depend more on what kind of head Novak brings to the court than on anything Rafa could muster up. If we get The Clockwork Nole, I wouldn't fancy Rafa's chances too much.
lets get serious here Farenhajt. this is clearly Nadal`s worst surface. on the other hand, it is easily Djokovic`s best surface. the right way to bet is to go with Djokovic.
for this match, i have no expectations for the Clay Monster other than a hard fought match. his form is still quite dismal and his serve is the worst i have ever seen. the guy is spinning in 70-80 mph first serves sometimes. it just continues to get worse and worse. 4 foot 10 inch tall women are serving harder with these new racquets and new strings. he just tries to hang in as much possible and his superior mental skills allow him to get by in some of these matches on hard courts. he clearly does not have the goods for hard courts.
that said, i will take the win if it comes.
i am really just waiting for the clay circuit.